Conf = Colonial State = VA
Nickname = Tribe Coach = Colleen DawsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.0637589 home-field advantage = -0.67 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8-10, 82.8) 13-11 215 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 79.4) 9-10 222 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 87.9) 7-19 226 N UMBC America East (11- 5, 84.0) 10-17 301 H VCU Atlantic 10 ( 8-11, 82.6) 17-11 305 A High Point Big South (12- 6, 85.4) 18-17 308 A Longwood Big South ( 1-14, 72.7) 16- 8 314 A Drexel Colonial (14- 4, 90.2) 11-21 321 H Hofstra Colonial ( 9- 7, 85.3) 7-11 324 H Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 3-13, 81.5) 17-11 330 A Stony Brook Colonial (16- 5, 92.6) 3-20 405 A Towson Colonial ( 7- 9, 86.6) 10-15 413 H Elon Colonial ( 9- 8, 85.7) 11-12 419 A Delaware Colonial (10- 6, 87.3) 4-17 422 A East Carolina AAC ( 7-10, 84.3) 13-14 426 H Campbell Colonial ( 3-12, 81.8) 19-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Coastal Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.42 215 H George Washington 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.34 222 A Georgetown 7-19 -12 -5 -1.45 226 N UMBC 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.05 301 H VCU 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.88 305 A High Point 18-17 1 -3 ++ 4.04 308 A Longwood 16- 8 8 9 0.00 314 A Drexel 11-21 -10 -7 0.00 321 H Hofstra 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.39 324 H Monmouth (NJ) 17-11 6 2 + 3.79 330 A Stony Brook 3-20 -17 -10 0.00 405 A Towson 10-15 -5 -4 -0.78 413 H Elon 11-12 -1 -1 0.97 419 A Delaware 4-17 -13 -4 - -2.09 422 A East Carolina 13-14 -1 -1 0.95 426 H Campbell 19-16 3 1 1.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 N UMBC 10-17 -7 0 --- -6.05 215 H George Washington 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.34 321 H Hofstra 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.39 419 A Delaware 4-17 -13 -4 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H VCU 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.88 305 A High Point 18-17 1 -3 ++ 4.04 208 A Coastal Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.42 324 H Monmouth (NJ) 17-11 6 2 + 3.79
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.06 Power Rank................. 71 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 65.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 68 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5573 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 70 RPI Rating............... .4538 RPI Rank................... 81 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 129 Selection sum ........... 250 Selection Rank ............ 83 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -210. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 95 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -210. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 99 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 14.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7